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Government Real Role in Economic Crisis

Wrong-Crisis-ApproachA reasonably adequate exposition of the proper role of a government during economic crisis should proceed from a distillation of the government’s political philosophy, its mission statement, vision of the future and socio-economic policies.

The discussion would require recognition of the comparative importance of fundamental human rights, personal freedoms, egalitarianism, and other civilized ideals. After completing this feat, likely to nobody’s satisfaction, it would behoove us to examine each of the economic activities undertaken by the state in the light of government’s relative capacity to carry out its requisite functions.

Then we would be obliged to perform a detailed analysis of the outcomes of the economic crisis policies adopted by the government. More suitable as a syllabus for a college course, this borders on the overly ambitious for a commentary, so I resigned to only review (critique) what the government of Antigua & Barbuda proposes to do to revive the economy from recession in Part 1, and outline programs and policies the government should consider adopting to effectively resuscitate the economy in Part 2.

Government’s Crisis Response

In his 2010 budget speech, the Minister of Finance and the Economy, the honorable Harold Lovell, elucidated the abysmal state of the nation’s economic affairs and outlined the government’s plans to rescue the economy. The minister stated that the government had “… developed a strategy to address the fiscal and debt challenges and to transform the economic and social landscape of Antigua and Barbuda …” Cognizant that the planed transformation cannot be achieved “without high and sustained levels of economic growth,” the government developed an Economic Action Plan (EAP), which focuses on programs with the “precise objective” of supporting investment by the private sector to encourage economic activity, generate wealth and create jobs. A year later, clear and convincing economic indicators show that the state of the economy is worsening. Permit me to evade further remarks which may be viewed as “partisan”; merely clear your conscience, open your eyes and draw your own conclusions.


Imagine our government of intellects faced with the toughest economic quandary of their political careers, aggregating the most ingenious ideas derived from numerous meetings with the best and the brightest, local and imported “brains for hire”. Then, upon reaching agreement as to what the People will buy, the premium concepts are sanitized, packaged, embossed with catchy acronyms like “NEST” and “EPA”, and then proselytized via the government’s formal and informal public relations networks. This strategy worked well in the past, but in this era when the same financial stick is “licking” the wild and tame goats alike, neither party loyalty nor public relations embellishments is any match for the belly-growling reality of the rapidly diminishing value of a dollar these days.

Why did this seemingly well intentioned compilation of ideas that appear brilliant on paper, fall miles short of stated objectives? The “plan” seems only to have created jobs, wealth and economic growth for the mercenary minds that created it, and may be doing more harm to the economy than good. Unsuccessful government policies and programs, implemented during economic crisis are often retrospectively analyzed in abstract terms, but in reality, they result in untold hardship and suffering at the level of the most vulnerable. Unsettled by this thought, I confess obsessive investigation to uncover the root causes of the government’s recent economic policy failures and how they could have been avoided or can be corrected.

Wrong Crisis Approach

The Minister of Finance told the nation that his government’s “… approach to economic development has always been one of facilitation rather than crowding out the private sector” and emphasized that “the government does not intent to take over the private sector’s role as the engine of growth”; thus, the current recession is viewed as a “… unique opportunity for the government to partner with the private sector to help the economy rebound ...”

By all objective estimates, the economy is not responding, so what more must the government do to alleviate the widespread suffering resulting from the current recession? Observe that the government describes its role in the current economic crisis with words like “facilitate” “support” and “encourage”; all of which indicate indirect actions with respect to addressing the single most important issue facing the nation. Except for meeting IMF requirements, the government’s response lacks aggressive, proactive measures, and does not convey a mature sense of crisis leadership.


Having reduced corporate income tax and introduced a comprehensive system of incentives and concessions, the government reported that “… a 54.0 per cent increase in private sector foreign currency deposits and growth of 5.3 per cent in private sector savings deposits … indicates that there is money in the system,” but the private sector is being “understandably” cautious. Recognizing this as a euphemism for the private sector’s shortage of confidence in the government, it becomes evident that Lovell’s so-called partnership may be a sinking leaky ship. Government policy that places full responsibility on the private sector to grow the economy holds the economic growth of the nation hostage to private sector’s unenlightened notions of risk aversion at a time of economic crisis. Further, the level of private businesses’ tax payment delinquency is strong indication that government dependence on the private sector to bring our economic ship to shore is dangerously misplaced and a new approach is desperately required.

Government Innovation as an Engine of Growth in Economic Crisis

Clearly, I do not take issue with the primacy of the private sector as “the engine of economic growth” in good economic times when investor confidence is high and expectations of meritorious margins are justified. But even then, the private sector should never be the only engine of growth in a small, vulnerable economy like Antigua & Barbuda. Moreover, the government has a “special” obligation to the People during economic crisis to desist from just being a vivacious cheerleader for the economy.

I vigorously contend that our economic recovery begins with an understanding of the proper role of government within the context of the current economic crisis, and a realignment of the current rescue policies to enable the government to get up off the sidelines and into the game. This is the crucial first step toward responsible crisis governance.


The government needs to stop trying to explain its way out of agonizing failure and seek understanding of the innovative concepts and policies that guided other countries’ recovery from economic crisis in the past and even now. For example, after numerous failed programs instituted by President Herbert Hoover, the New Deal policies of the subsequent administration under President Delano Roosevelt’s are widely credited for reviving the United States economy from the Great Depression of the 1930’s. There have been many similar examples since then, including small economies that are successfully recovering from the current global economic crisis.

New Zealand, which reached the brink of insolvency during the 1980s, was able to reverse the process. All government functions were turned into self-standing businesses with chief executive officers appointed for five-year terms, who could be terminated at any time for non-performance. The success of this policy led to taxes being cut dramatically and revenues going up by 20 per cent. The rule in New Zealand still is that government functions must be performed efficiently and cost effectively or heads will roll.

The Alternative

Contrary to IMF wisdom, and against the reigning sentiment on both sides of the political color line, I strongly oppose the retrenchment of government workers. The need to reduce the wage bill does not, in and of itself, give merit to the idea of sending home over two thousand workers to suffer indefinitely, meanwhile there is at least one hundred million dollars of unnecessary expenditure that should be cut from the budget before the first worker is sent to the bread line. Government workers need to be retrained, retooled, redistributed and made productive contributors in the economy if we are to avoid widespread poverty and impending national misery. Brilliant ideas can change our landscape and outlook if we have the courage to look beyond the dark cloud of the usual mouthpieces who are devoid of 21st century ideas. Workers should not have to suffer simply because the light of innovation is absent from current government economic crisis policies.


The government needs to prune and fertilize statutory corporations to deliver long term benefits to the nation, instead of the shortsighted “fire sale” tactics currently proposed. I feel an abiding sense of patriotic outrage and intellectual disconnection when I realize that because there was no hell to pay for the “giveaway” sale of the Royal Antiguan Hotel, the government intends to replicate this travesty many times over. Divesting ownership (“fire sale”) of the people patrimony without consulting the owners (citizens) at a time when statutory corporations most need to be reorganized and made competitive to help rebuild the economy is insanity on stilts. If the government divests “profitable” statutory corporations as proposed, to wealthy local cronies and foreign campaign contributors, under the guise of giving them to the People, the needed profits from these statutory corporations will be lost, and obviously, more taxes will have to make up the shortfall.

My caution to the government comes from Samuel F. Miller, who is credited for saying, “[t]o lay with one hand the power of government on the property of the citizen, and with the other to bestow it on favored individuals … is none the less a robbery because it is done under the forms of the law …”

The Quantum of Failure

A government’s growing track record of failed policies points us to the concept of “bankruptcy,” which is a paramount invention of the capitalist, private enterprise system; it is essentially, a mechanism for putting an end to costly failure. Unfortunately, the efficacy of this facility is unavailable in government where it is most needed, because no such institution has yet been conceived for the political process.

As in the case of Antigua & Barbuda, chronically unsuccessful economic policies have no inherent termination. In fact, there is no need to avoid conspicuous failure or ineffectual policies, because government failure demonstrates the need for greater spending. At the root of the government’s tenacity in failure is its unwillingness to objectively measure and take responsibility for the devastating effects of its failures; maybe it is time to calculate the quantum of the “tax oppression index” in Antigua & Barbuda.

In Part two (2) of this article I will outline programs and policies the government of Antigua and Barbuda should adopt, at first to lessen the burden of the economic crisis, and then to reverse the recession. For example I will demonstrate how substitutions of the political appointees that currently manage potential revenue generators like the Central Marketing Corporation (CMC) with competent, professional leaders who understand crisis management and “comparative advantage,” could provide adequate food safety and security for the nation, lower the cost of food, particularly the proverbial “basket of good” by at least 40%, meanwhile acting as an engine of economic growth.

The Scarlet PimpernelThe Scarlet Pimpernel is the nom de plume of an Antiguan born “knowledge broker” whose intercontinental exploits involve work as a university founder and educator, military strategist, international legal consultant, United States prosecutor, published author, trade advisor in Latin America and international investment counselor.

The inimitable acuity of the “Pimpernel” is sought after by entrepreneurs, investors and governments from Dubai to Brazil. Recent work, created for Latin America, which speaks to the conjunction of technology and education to reduce cost, motivate students and improve testing results will be translated and introduced to school systems across the Caribbean later this year. “Employing anonymity to domesticate the ego ...”

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25 Comments In This Article   

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Crunch Time Part 3

#25 Winston D » 2010-09-18 07:54

I like the intellectual way the writer put PLM in his place. Standing firm yet humble.
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Winston D

The ingenius ghost writer

#24 Admirer » 2010-09-18 07:49

I do not want to be involved in rumours about the true identity of the Scarlet Pimpernel but I can say that I appreciate the contributions. The ideas unusual and sensible, the writer is obviously highly educated. I look forward to what is going to come next from this genuine Einstein. This is what we need to help Antigua out of the mess we are into.

Thank you writer
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Admirer

Scarlett Pimperel

#23 Unemployed » 2010-09-17 02:28

I have been reading this person for a few weeks now and is obvious that this person has a very big brain. The writing style is very intellectual but if you take the time to think about what the person is saying you see it make sense. Is true people are talking I hear is one of the people that the ALP have feedin out new ideas to test how the people respon. But give jack his jacket the ideas are very refreshing.
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Unemployed

The Nation is Feeling You

#22 Government Worker » 2010-09-17 02:18

Scarlet Pimpernel keep writing, you know Antiguans are not good on giving compliments but they are feeling the impact of your fresh ideas. I know for a fact that many people on both sides have their eyes on you. I was informed that your ideas reached a meeting of cabinet and created a big fuss because nobody knows for sure who you are. They were saying that you are a former Lester Bird advisor, a lawyer with 2 PhD's. I do not care who you are, I know that what you are saying makes sense for A&B.

Keep it up
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Government Worker

@ Scarlett Pimpernel

#21 tenman » 2010-09-16 10:27

@ Scarlett Pimpernel - thanks keep giving us food for thought
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tenman

Re-wada

#20 oops » 2010-09-16 06:38

That would be a great move, who wants 1% on their money, it would encourage them to circulate it in the Economy instead of having the Banks holding it like box money, a few more persons would find employment from these investment, The Govt would earn more revenues, even the Banks would get some back in savings although smaller, i share the writers sentiments as to retrenchment, where will these people Go,remember nothing is happening in the Economy,would that not create a worse situation as more persons will be on the bread line, it is true that the Public Sector needs to be reduced,but this is just not the right time.
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oops

@Tenman

#19 Antiguan » 2010-09-16 06:26

I am aware of the already reduced Interest rates since i to am a Home owner, but what Wada's blog is suggesting is that it could be reduced even more, i agree with that,5-6% would be excellent rates, especially at difficult financial times like these,Do you know that there are some institutions that are still charging as high as 9&10 %,now that we are going through a serious recession along with increased Taxation, it would be a good time to adjust these rates a little lower(even temporary),this would help to stimulate the Economy,by increasing spending power.I can recall a few yrs back, there were two Economist on ABS TV, who stated that the rates of Interest in our region is killing our economies,i could not agree more.
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Antiguan

Crunch Time - Part III

#18 The Scarlet Pimpernel » 2010-09-16 02:32

PLM, knowledge and ideas are my life and innovation is my passion, I write to provoke thinking that recognizes there is no “box”. I believe our nation can stop the mindless “cogging” that has characterized our past approach to advancement; unity of guided purpose creates the courage for us to go where none have gone before. Friend, I demand competent, moral leadership from whoever occupies the chair, consider this liberating concept when setting your example. We are in this together.

Atilla, thanks for the encouragement, it is deeply appreciated.
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The Scarlet Pimpernel

Crunch Time - Part II

#17 The Scarlet Pimpernel » 2010-09-16 02:30

Wada and Antiguan, outstanding observations; for whatever reason, banks in Antigua operate at the ground floor of what may be aptly regarded as “banking” in the international market, yet many Antiguans hold the mistaken belief that we are competitive in the financial services sector. Local bankers squeeze adequate profits at the expense of customers in the “commercial area,” but even our socalled “investment banks” are ill-equipped to negotiate many of the high yield financial instruments and facilities that dominate the world of “investment banking”. Negligible participation in this area of banking where local customers could receive better benefits, financially disadvantages forward-thinkin g citizens like yourself.

- to be continued -
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Crunch Time - Part I

#16 The Scarlet Pimpernel » 2010-09-16 02:28

Thanks to all for your astute comments, I value them all, albeit not equally.

Doc, the quality of diverse perspectives offering thoughtful critique pleasantly reinforces my resolve in the ability of indigenous talent to elevate the m** above backward cultural imperatives and socio-political conditioning that inhibit development aspiration. Engineering strategies to adjust masochistic mindset to counter formidable agents of political expediency requires inspired organization and tenacity. In this connection, the call to nation building is awaiting the legacy your whole life prepared you for; this is your moment in our history. Ne Timeas ... Walk good.

Tenman, you are the embodiment of the kind of informed, interested, involved citizen to which the entire populace should aspire. Your patriotic passion and intellectual honesty sets the high watermark for caribarena bloggers. Maximum respect brother.

- to be continued -
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The Scarlet Pimpernel

Words of encouragement

#15 Atilla » 2010-09-15 14:18

Scarlet I just want to encourage you to keep om writing. You style is of an exceptional level not for the average, whcih ofcourse is your purpose. Althought the category you write under is "OPINION" so some things are fact others are just your opinion and other even I may differ from time to time. But very educational in content. Are you sure you'r not an economist? or perhaps have studied in that direction. Anyway I am one of your reders that wishes to encourage and thank you. By the way I believe we shoudl addopt a page of the New Zeland script. Our Ministers should not try to be expert in running Ministries to technical. They should only remain as lawmakers in parlement doing the peoples business. Let Technicians do the job and be held accountable to the politicians
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Atilla

@PLM

#14 tenman » 2010-09-15 06:55

PLM trust me i know of what you speak of. I grew up in such a family, no hand outs work, in the shop the afternoon when you get back from school. The idea being thought was you can get whatever you want as long as you are prepared to work for it. However PLM you know where we live and that message is not the norm. PLM I recall in 2004 the message was instead of giving a fish we will teach persons how to fish. However what I hear these days is more about how much fish we have given out

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tenman

De lard helps dose who helps demselves

#13 PLM » 2010-09-15 06:09

Tenman,

Old people use to send dem pickney to slave for a mason, carpenter, plumber, seamstress, baker or tailor to pickup a trade. They didn’t wait around for RSD Goodwin or Sir Moody Stewart to provide a training program. To this day, my father has never had to call a plumber to his house.
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PLM

@ANTIGUAN,

#12 tenman » 2010-09-15 05:50

Antiguan I disagree with you perhaps for the first time when it comes to mortgage interest rates. This is one of the things the UPP has to be given credit for. They have managed to decrease this rate from around 12% in 2004 to now about 8.5%. I was at RBC today and saw some brochures with them offering 7.5% on mortgages. The government did this by offering the banks a lower corporate tax rate. I do agree with you that insurance rates are too high and something must be done about it. I strongly believe that if we were to see the kind of destruction that hurricane Luis brought that many houses on this island would be found without home insurance because of the high price of insurance. Will not disagree with wada about the spreads because I am yet to see banks currently offer rates above 6% for Fixed deposits (ABI may be an exception)
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tenman

Wada

#11 Antiguan » 2010-09-15 05:16

I think your analysis of the banking sector in terms of rates,is more visionary than that of even the head of the ECCB, one of our major hindrances as to our spending power is the high rate of interest on long term loans such as Mortages, i have often wondered why it is that no matter how difficult times are, those masures (ie lowering interest rates, insurance premiums etc) are never even given a possible thought, while in the Larger developed Countries, those are the first areas that are considered as a benefit for the people, Here in our little society it seems the way to ease the squeeze,is to put more money into the Govt coffers, so they can continue to live their lavish lifestyles,whil e we continue to be ha**ed by the Banks for what we owe , then the ECCB Governor in all his wisdom, tells us that in order to survive these times,we should adjust our lives, one way he said is to send your Children to public schools and live in Smaller houses.I too like you wish to see this happen,but with leaders and heads with such mind set, i think it will remain a dream.
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Antiguan

@ PLM,

#10 tenman » 2010-09-15 05:04

PLM, I can't believe I am posting this but miracle of miracles I agree with you when it comes to your major statement about retrenchment is a must. I also agree with your suggestion about the work permit criteria. Where we disagree is on the retraining issue. My thinking is it should be offered to these workers are part of a severance package. It is up to them to take it.
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tenman

100

#9 Skye Williams » 2010-09-15 01:59

Pimpi You are correct for the most part. Time is about to run out on those who think that the people is stupid. You hit the nail on the head about the government's need to invest and the retooling of government workers. I suggest creating a staff support admin corp that would enable communication thoughout the entire government system. They would support Police, Customs, Airport, the ministries. and all government agencies. A technology based Administrative system
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Skye Williams

#8 Dessalines » 2010-09-15 01:53

@ Scarlett Pimpernel Articulately written article. I agree that retrenchments of public sector workers is not only unnecessary but counter productive. The 400 lb gorilla in the room is the astronomical rates taxpayers pay to office these workers. I've heard figures of EC 40 000 000 per annum. We can actually send 2000 workers on training with full salaries and give up the rental of their offices and still break even. Lack of transparency is another dark side to our political culture here in Anu, because I'm sure that if these figures were published on a quarterly basis and the public sensitized to how their taxes are spent (or wasted) the politicians would be forced to perform or be fired.
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Dessalines

Pimpernel: great name lousy analysis

#7 PLM » 2010-09-15 01:19

With the wage bill consuming 75% of tax revenues, the need to retrench government workers is not open to debate. No new work permits should be issued, renewed or extended. All work permits issued to unskilled foreigners should also be rescinded, and the pool of excess civil servants should be used to fill these private sector jobs. And the government is not responsible for “retraining” anybody. It’s the individual’s responsibility to ensure they have marketable skills.
They seek him here; they seek him there. Those birdbrains search for Lester’s brain everywhere. Is it in heaven or is it in hell? They scurry up market street and down Newgate. More’s the loss or just pell mell…
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PLM

The Banking system's role?

#6 wada » 2010-09-15 01:01

Very well written article, good points and a lot of food for thought. Could I request that a future article be penned on the role of the banks and the OECS banking system. Years ago, one could earn 4, 5 % on savings accounts. On Fixed deposits I recall the years when as much as 12% was paid. These have all been eroded, and while lending rates particularly home mortgages have come down, I propose that the spread is still high though a banking professional would have an argument for the current spread.

Savings interest drift between 1-2.5%, fixed deposits hover around 4-5% and mortgage interest 7.5-9 or 10%? The ECCB should mandate mortgages down to 4-5% and savings to 0.5 to 1%. The populace particularly the middle class would have a bit more spending power and investors may circulate money as it would not be viable to let it sit in a savings account gathering dust (i.e. 1%). Any thoughts?
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wada

Movement in the Right Direction Part II

#5 Dr. Isaac Newton » 2010-09-14 23:46

SCARLET PIMPERNEL,

2. Mindscape---Whe reas non-nationals are given instance credibility over indigenous intelligence, and whereas the belief that excellence is imported is the established norm, and whereas political philosophy is reduced to ‘is our time now’ and detached from developmental aspirations, any movement towards economic recovery will have to begin with a radical re-education of the m**. In fact, the very mindset that establishes the criteria for leaders and which produces the selection process of leadership itself is jaundice.

Than ks for offering a bold, counterintuitiv e, insightful but cathartic perspective against the backdrop of pernicious and pervasive forces!
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Dr. Isaac Newton

Movement in the Right Direction Part I

#4 Dr. Isaac Newton » 2010-09-14 23:45

SCARLET PIMPERNEL,

Two formidable frustrations linger in the quest for economic bloom: 1. Political Culture-- The fact the politicians are not punished by the people for poor performance so there’s isn’t any major incentives to deliver tangible results; and the fact that this exist within a framework of blind partisanship must be overcome. This also means that vision statements are not designed to align with operational imperatives. In this paradigm visibility is more valued than viability and eloquence rule the day.

See part II
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Dr. Isaac Newton

tax oppression index

#3 tenman » 2010-09-14 23:17

Pimpernel, I love that term. Must tell you that your articles add new phrases to my vocabulary. Please excuse me when I use that phrase "tax oppression index" in the future.

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tenman

good points part 2

#2 tenman » 2010-09-14 23:01

The issue of government retrenchment has been left on the back burner for too long. I know the writer states they are against it. Unlike the writer I believe that retrenchment needs to happen. However it must be done in a orderly well thought out manner. Where I agree with the writer is these workers will have to be retrained. Any retrenchment package must make allocation for retraining. Persons should also be given proper warning. We can no longer keep thinking that providing jobs that create no value is a good stimulus program. These ideas will not work here, in a small open economy, especially since most of the money obtained from those workers pay is sent overseas to pay for goods.
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tenman

good points part 1

#1 tenman » 2010-09-14 22:46

The writer made some good points regarding governments role and suggested perhaps along the lines of John Maynard Keynes that government may need to be the investor (prime the pump) when times are bad. I would agree with the writer but we need to learn from past mistakes. Where investments in normally private sector activity are concerned the private sector must play a key role in managing that investment and must also have some of its own money invested. The idea also has to be that government recoups its investment and sell all of or at least most of the shares to the private sector when things normalize. Where investment in infrastructure is concerned it must be in things that create value. However unlike the US we should never get into activities like sending persons checks/money with the idea that they will stimulate economic activity. The major reason I am against such is because we practically manufacture nothing therefore the multiplier effect will not occur or be very limited and we will only be stimulating manufacturers in other countries.
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The Scarlet Pimpernel

The Scarlet Pimpernel is the nom de plume of an Antiguan born “knowledge broker” whose intercontinental exploits involve work as a university founder and educator, military strategist, international legal consultant, United States prosecutor, published author, trade advisor in Latin America and international investment counselor.

The inimitable acuity of the “Pimpernel” is sought after by entrepreneurs, investors and governments from Dubai to Brazil. Recent work, created for Latin America, which speaks to the conjunction of technology and education to reduce cost, motivate students and improve testing results will be translated and introduced to school systems across the Caribbean later this year. “Employing anonymity to domesticate the ego ...”

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