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**tenman** » 2013-01-30 16:57

The Independent , if we agree this is more a national poll than a constituency poll, based on results of another recent national poll(FFEL), you will most likely win that bet

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**The Independent** » 2013-01-30 16:27

My bet is that every ALP candidate will come out ahead of the UPP candidate at the end of the Caribarena poll. I say this, not on the basis of any special knowledge I might have about political climate in Antigua and Barbuda - no more than anyone else - but simply because it is what I would expect from a poll such as this. Any bets?

**what** » 2013-01-30 15:25

on behalf of the rest of the world, we forgive your mother for dropping you on your head when you were born, the effects of which can be seen even today.

Also, I have another free poll for you to waste your money on, please go to youranidiot.com .

**GiveMeABreak** » 2013-01-30 15:17

This poll shows nothing. Anyone with a cell phone (or two or six) could have voted in this. What a waste of people's time and money. :zzz

**tenman** » 2013-01-30 14:21

The Independent, thanks (enjoy learning). Note though we have probably had 8 elections in the forty year span, since then, showing them reflecting the national trend. You don't think that latter information reveals that the 1971 difference was simply an aberration?
..

**franklin** » 2013-01-30 14:20

you sending your blogs and saying you not a UPP supporter, is like me saying i walk on the moon, but i'm not an astronaut. ya nah fool nabody!

**The Independent** » 2013-01-30 13:58

Tenman,
Denfied Hurst won the Rural North seat in 1971, although ALP lost the election. I offer this for your information only and not as evidence of a likely outcome in the next election. More of a history lesson, if you like. Any by the way, I am no a UPP - or ALP -supporter.

**the Man** » 2013-01-30 13:39

you read to fast. Try again:

Quote:

While the Caribarena poll did not rely only on votes from the St. John’s Rural North constituency, and cannot predict what will happen in the future election, the poll does show a general downturn of favorability with Incumbent John Maginley.

They even recognized it does not rely on votes from St. John's rural north, and that the poll shows a GENERAL downturn of favorability.

you said:
Quote:

But to make a conclusion about John Maginley's popularity in Rural North on the basis of these online poll results is simply not sound reasoning.

I say you only see what you want to see and hear what you want to hear. You can say that this poll means nothing, but the fact of the matter is that 600 Antiguans and Barbudans from around the island voted yesterday in a poll, and most of them voted Fernandez and not Maginley. Moreover, even Cool Ruler and his trickster friends could not turn the tide, despite the fact that Maginley got 11% more support from outside the Island.

This poll isn't everything, but it also isn't nothing.

**The Fly** » 2013-01-30 13:34

Tenman is right! Johnny is also right! It is up to you guys to believe what you want! We who live it - know it!

**tenman** » 2013-01-30 13:15

Independent I agree with you that no one can really say that the results of the poll truly reflect attitudes on the ground in Rural North. The only good argument may be, if true, that Rural North tends to reflect the national results. I don't recall a Rural north MP ever being an opposition member. Whats telling in the poll is John's figure 34% are inline with the results of the Free and Fair election national poll for the UPP 31%.. The 3% difference can be explained by John's 3% more votes from overseas than Fernandez. Persons supportive of the UPP can continue ignoring these recurring numbers (from two separate non scientific polls) at their peril

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**ANTIGUAN WOMAN** » 2013-01-30 12:45

Polls reflect the mind of " People"not of Domestic Animals,are these not the same persons who can vote in an actual election? Or is it that the people who vote is saying,they will vote for Fernadez over Maginley if they lived in Rural north,but will vote for the UPP candidate in their respective constituency?? it can definitely be a reflection of how the nation on a whole is feeling at present.Conside ring the fact that all the votes for Maginley was not from Rural north either,the general consensus is that the UPP is not the favored party.

**The Independent** » 2013-01-30 11:57

Little Johnny, if the writer of the article was comparing total UPP votes in the last election with the poll results and and making a conclusion about UPP's popularity, then there might some - albeit not very much much - merit in the conclusion. But to make a conclusion about John Maginley's popularity in Rural North on the basis of these online poll results is simply not sound reasoning. Please note that I do not support UPP or John Maginley, but simply have a problem with this kind of "deceptive reasoning".

**Johnny** » 2013-01-30 11:19

This shows that the UPP is very unpopular. Add to that a disappointment as a Representative and a Minister, and you have a losing seat for the UPP.

**hot Ruler** » 2013-01-30 11:18

The truth hurts

**Patriot** » 2013-01-30 11:03

Will the Sean Bird's of this world realise that it is time for the Birds to take a back seat....The Birds have had their time..He is a spoiler and should be told so.The wind of change is blowing through the caribbean...Gre nada and Barbados will have new governments according to the latest opinion polls...and the Antigua and barbuda labour party has an election to win... but what I am hearing coming from this Guy....It is not about the people... but me.Wake up and smell the coffee...Lazy

**The Independent** » 2013-01-30 10:44

"the poll does show a general downturn of favorability with Incumbent John Maginley"

To compare the results from and online poll - where anyone from any constituency can vote any number of times - with the results from a General Election, where voting is limited to registered voters in a particular constituency, is a bit like comparing apples and macaroni pie.
The above conclusion says more about the persons involved in this poll than it says about the results.

**Mr cool** » 2013-01-30 10:41

Nice i like

**hot Ruler** » 2013-01-30 10:23

Question:
who pays Cool Ruler salary
Answer: Government of Antigua !

**ANTIGUAN WOMAN** » 2013-01-30 09:25

Is it only persons voting for the ALP candidates would vote multiple right??what a warped thinking!

**NYC** » 2013-01-30 09:01

Cool Ruler; I suspected you voted 3 times given the details you submitted below. However, like some of us over here in NY from St John’s Rural North we were able to vote because we could not resist the temptation of trying out the cool Absentee Voting being offered by the smart capable team at Caribarena. We are hoping also that the government will take heed and recognize the growing interest we have for Antigua and will update their technology to allow credible online or mail-in Absentee Ballot. This poll may be slightly rigged because of poor IP technology but close enough (+ or -) for the candidates to pay attention and start delivering the goods to the people.

**Cool Ruler** » 2013-01-30 08:08

I did not take part in this charade and have no intentions of doing so what, however are you guys saying that someone like myself who uses at times three ip address all genuine none fake to visit your site in a day could not have voted using different monitors? How would your so-called smart technology catch that? In the morning on my way to work on the train, I may use my phone or tablet, later I may even log on from work and later sill log on from home on my computer, all using different ip address. Your explanation to reassure persons of the fail safe methods does not pass muster.

**AntiguanyouthMan** » 2013-01-30 07:48

ALP 1 - 0 UPP

**Jackie Spence** » 2013-01-30 07:41

Please note that the Birds need to rest for a while! Antigua and Barbuda had enough of you for now!

**H.N.I.C** » 2013-01-30 07:26

This poll has absolutely no credibility and cannot be taken as an accurate indication of the minds of the people. Even the way the numbers (results) are presented is grossly misleading.

**Jimmy** » 2013-01-30 05:49

There is no such thing as a "newcomer" with a name like "Bird"...THEY THOUGHT IT WOULD BE AN ASSET! Actually, maybe that's the message they need to get..."NO MORE BIRDS AT THIS TIME!" As Lester would say..."NUFF SAID!"

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